Today is Tuesday, 10/20 and the general US Elections are in TWO WEEKS.

As it stands right now, the current Senate composition is:
47 - Democrats
51 - Republicans
2 - Independents

Looking at the numbers, we COULD see a huge shift in the Senate this year, best case scenario would be:

52 - Democrats
45 - Republicans
3 - Independents

1ST DEMOCRATIC FLIP - NC
2ND DEMOCRATIC FLIP - SC
3RD DEMOCRATIC FLIP - TX
4TH DEMOCRATIC FLIP - OH
5TH DEMOCRATIC FLIP - KS
6TH DEMOCRATIC FLIP - IA
7TH DEMOCRATIC FLIP - ME

El-Sayed wins MI, hold, not a flip!

Alaska - 74% Reporting - D+0.29 (637 votes!)
(Dan Sullivan^1 47.88%
Dan Sullivan^2 1.68%)
Mississippi - 96% Reporting - D+0.18 (1,724 votes!)

Chart Follows:

State Current Occupant Status D Cand R Cand Polling 10/18 Outcome Polling Direction
Colorado Democratic Hickenlooper Safe D John Hickelooper Mark Baisley Called D
Delaware Democratic Coons Safe D Chris Coons Michael Katz Called D
Georgia Democratic Ossoff Safe D Jon Ossoff Mike Collins Called D
Illnois Democratic Durbin Safe D Juliana Stratton Don Tracy Called D
Massachusetts Democratic Markey Safe D Ed Markey John Deaton Called D
New Hampshire Democratic Shaheen Safe D Chris Pappas John E. Sununu Called D
New Jersey Democratic Booker Safe D Cory Booker Justin Murphy Called D
New Mexico Democratic Luja Safe D Ben Ray Luján Larry Marker Called D
Oregon Democratic Merkley Safe D Jeff Merkley David Brock Smith Called D
Rhode Island Democratic Reed Safe D Jack Reed Raymond McKay Called D
Virginia Democratic Warner Safe D Mark Warner Bert Mizusawa Called D
Minnesota Democratic Smith D Peggy Flanagan Michele Tafoya Called D
North Carolina Republican Tillis D Roy Cooper Michael Whatley D FLIP Possible D Flip D Momentum since 6/1
Alabama Republican Tuberville Safe R Everett Wess Barry Moore Called R
Arkansas Republican Cotton Safe R Hallie Shoffner Tom Cotton Called R
Florida Republican Moody Safe R Angie Nixon Ashley Moody Called R
Idaho Republican Risch Safe R Withdrawn Jim Risch Called R
Kentucky Republican McConnell Safe R Charles Booker Andy Barr Called R
Louisiana Republican Cassidy Safe R Jamie Davis Julia Letlow Called R
Mississippi Republican Hyde-Smith Safe R Cindy Hyde-Smith Scott Colom R+9
Montana Republican Daines Safe R Alani Bankhead Kurt Alme Called R
Nebraska Republican Ricketts Safe R Dan Osborn (I) Pete Ricketts Called R R Momentum since 10/1
Oklahoma Republican Armstrong Safe R N’Kiyla Thomas Kevin Hern Called R
South Dakota Republican Rounds Safe R Brian Bengs Mike Rounds Called R
Tennessee Republican Hagerty Safe R Marquita Bradshaw Bill Hagerty Called R
West Virginia Republican Capito Safe R Rachel Fetty Anderson Shelley Moore Capito Called R
Wyoming Republican Lummis Safe R James Byrd Harriet Hageman Called R
South Carolina Republican Graham R Annie Andrews Darline Graham D FLIP R Momentum since 8/29
Alaska Republican Sullivan Tossup Mary Peltola Dan Sullivan D+3 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 8/4
Iowa Republican Ernst Tossup Josh Turek Ashley Hinson D FLIP Possible D Flip D Momentum since 9/10
Kansas Republican Marshall Tossup Adam Hamilton Roger Marshall D FLIP Possible D Flip D Momentum since 10/1
Maine Republican Collins Tossup Troy Jackson Susan Collins COLLINS CONCEDES Possible D Flip D Momentum since 7/6
Michigan Democratic Peters Tossup Abdul El-Sayed Mike Rogers Called D Possible R Flip D Momentum since 8/17
Ohio Republican Husted Tossup Sherrod Brown Jon Husted D FLIP Possible D Flip D Momentum since 6/2
Texas Republican Cornyn Tossup James Talarico Ken Paxton D FLIP Possible D Flip D Momentum since 6/1
      • wonderingwanderer@sopuli.xyz
        4·
        2 days ago

        Holy shit, I didn’t even notice ol Mississip. It was looking red all night but I just checked after you pointed it out. Colom is up by 28 votes with 97% ballots counted so far…

        That is the definition of neck-and-neck.

        And yeah Michigan is the main reason I’m still up right now (that and the House!). It’s been tight all night but El-Sayed has been edging ahead for the past hour or so! 76% of the count is in so far

    • jordanlund@lemmy.worldOPM
      1·
      2 days ago

      Yup! Only a matter of “By How Much?”

      There is still a chance of 1 Republican flip, not enough to make a difference, but still possible.

  • chronicledmonocle@lemmy.world
    9·
    2 days ago

    Lol they might lose the Mississippi Senate race. Fucking MISSISSIPPI. That plus Georgia and Texas? Holy shit the GOP fucked up badly. 😂

    Mississippi was marked “Safe R” with a 9 point margin, which was even more “safe” for them than Texas. That is absolutely insane.

  • jordanlund@lemmy.worldOPM
    7·
    2 days ago

    HOLY SHIT!

    MISSISSIPPI - Democrat is up by 28 votes. TWENTY EIGHT.

    48.95% D
    48.94% R

    97% Reporting with Cindy Hyde-Smith as the Republican.

    Watching NBC:

    There are 2 big counties to watch:

    4100 votes left in a county leaning Democratic +60
    4200 votes left in a county leaning Republican +3

    So if he gets +60% of 4100 and +47% of 4200…

  • Suavevillain@lemmy.world
    11·
    2 days ago

    I sure do hate my state of Florida. They choose the worse outcomes everytime rewarding a woman who literally stole from them weak af.

    • pelespirit@sh.itjust.works
      10·
      2 days ago

      To be fair, there is a lot of cheating going on down there. They’re changing election locations last minute and then not posting clearly where the new ones are. I’m sure there are many more fucked up things going down.

  • jordanlund@lemmy.worldOPM
    5·
    2 days ago

    El-Sayed is giving a victory speech but the race has not yet been called by the AP or anyone else…

    51.8% to 46.2%.

    Rogers told his supporters to go home.

    Edit Race called for El-Sayed!

  • I_Jedi@lemmy.todayEnglish
    4·
    2 days ago

    I sense a disturbance in the Force.

    Thousands of Goppers going, “They won’t take Mississippi. They won’t FUCKING take it. FUCK!”

  • I_Jedi@lemmy.todayEnglish
    5·
    2 days ago

    President Trump would like to offer his input on the results tonight.

    I wasn’t on the Ballot and if I was, we would have won IN A LANDSLIDE! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP

    I think he knows he’s fucked.

  • [object Object]@lemmy.ca
    4·
    2 days ago

    I look forward to Trump looking at these numbers and saying “they’re not mad at me, they’re mad at the republicans who aren’t me”

    Edit: per the economist

    22:37 EST | Mr Trump has responded to tonight’s results for the first time, writing on social media: “I wasn’t on the Ballot and if I was, we would have won IN A LANDSLIDE!” He had repeatedly encouraged voters to “pretend I’m on the ballot” ahead of election day. On Monday the White House touted the president’s “relentless” 20-state midterm campaign tour.

    Lololol

  • Rentlar@lemmy.ca
    3·
    2 days ago

    Young Americans. Don’t forget tonight. Don’t ever forget what the last two years of evil that was allowed free reign in the USA and across the world.

    Also. I didn’t hear a peep about Idaho this cycle, and even they’re going Independent?!?!? (Early results showed 47% I 40% R it’s no longer). Like yeah they are a bumfuck redneck state but even the guy they’re sending actually might support Bernie-style efforts to defeat anticompetitice oligarchies, billionaires, and might pass wealth taxes on them for deficit reasons…

    • jordanlund@lemmy.worldOPM
      2·
      2 days ago

      Idaho is still 49 R, 41 I. Second I candidate pulling 6.8.

      Would have been closer with only 1 I candidate.

      • Rentlar@lemmy.ca
        2·
        2 days ago

        It was closer to the other way around an hour ago but oh well, too bad. The fact that an alternative is even imaginable there…

  • TheArtfulLlama@lemmy.world
    31·
    2 days ago

    I’m in Michigan and I’m really nervous about the senate race. They’ve been predicting it’ll be close but I’m still on the edge of my seat about it. And Detroit takes forever to count their ballots

    • NekoKoneko@lemmy.world
      4·
      2 days ago

      With the rest of results, I’m confident that El-Sayed has it, but also nervous because elections and disappointment are pretty much inseparable to me after the last ten years. I’m suspicious things have been going so well.